@pahowdy’s makes up some rulz about rookie drafts
lit
RULZ:
Rookie theory – All things being equal
SF, PPR, TE Premium
Things: ADP, Evaluation, Trends,
QB > RB
Mahomes Vs Barkley
Darnold VS Chubb
– QBs play longer
– Value as likely to remain the same
– even mediocre return has high value
RB > WR
Barkley VS Justin Jefferson
Harry VS Trent Richardson
-Rb more likely to increase in value
-RB more likely to produce
-Rb upside harder to find and maintain
WR > TE
Justin Jefferson VS Evan Engram
David Njoku VS Denzel mims
All things being equal, draft Rbs in rookie drafts, late, deep, early everywhere.
ADP>Evaluation>Trends
Players drafted outside the first four rounds of the NFL draft can probably be added later, if time and room permits
Trade up to target your Tier 1 players
or
Trade out
But try not to let players fall to you
IF I player loses value by the off season of their sophomore year, sell
If a WR player loses 5RDs of startup adp in their sophomore offseason, buy
If an RB drops by a round in Sophmore ADP, without really good reason, buy
Buy Tight end in their sophomore season
Always be selling running backs after their rookie draft
Links:
– Database: https://www.patreon.com/posts/46218140
– Jake Anderson (@NFLdrafttalker) made most of my graphics
– Zac Reed (@tacitassassin13) made the intro and some fo the background music
– Gabe Geering (@FFmanbun) made the “Chicken or Crow” theme song for @dynastycrossroads
You can support pahowdy and find more content in the places and links below…if you, like, want to, or something
Patreon: www.patreon.com/pahoward
Youtube: youtube.com/c/PeterHowardPahowdy
Twitch: twitch.tv/pahowdy
Twitter: @phowdy
Instagram: pahowdyff
pahowdy writes for dynastyleaguefootball.com.
Podcast: Play in new window | Download
